Don Weightman on Sun, 18 Jan 1998 09:55:24 +0100 (MET) |
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<nettime> Metatext on compatibility standards (1 of 2) |
This is the first of two messages with a reading list on the political economy and culture of technical standards. Don Weightman > >ICS 280 -- Institutional Aspects of Computing > >Winter 1998 > >Phil Agre > >Office: ICS2 202 >Phone: 824-5955 >Email: pagre@ucsd.edu >Web: http://communication.ucsd.edu/pagre/ >Office hours: TBA > > >This is a graduate seminar on the economic, legal, and strategic >aspects of technical compatibility standards. It is open to all >graduate students who feel prepared for it. > >Everyone who attends the class meetings, whether registered or not, >will be required to read several assigned papers, contribute one page >of reflections on the readings to a class mailing list by Monday >evening, read everyone else's reflections on Tuesday before the class, >and contribute their knowledge and questions to the class discussion. > >Those taking the class for credit will also be required to prepare >a case study, using concepts from the course, of selected aspects >of one information technology compatibility standard. The last few >class meetings will be devoted largely to presentation, analysis, >comparison, and contrast of these case studies. Those preparing case >studies should make a draft available on a Web page by the end of week >7 of the class, and everyone attending the class will be required to >offer detailed written comments on three of the drafts. The finished >case studies will be made available to the Internet community. Grades >will be based primarily on the case study. > >The readings may seem frightening in their volume and diversity. Be >assured, however, that they are fairly redundant. The phenomena of >standards are so strange that most authors feel the need to explain >the basics to each audience. We will be able to gloss over much of >that background material. > > >Week 1 / Introduction > > This week we'll go through the syllabus and introduce everyone. > >Week 2 / Background > > Reading the literature on standards is like diving to the bottom of > the ocean: it's a different world, so complicated that the authors > have no choice but to simplify away a great deal. Accordingly, we > will prepare ourselves by reading about various big pictures into > which the standards literature ought to fit. > >William J. Drake, The Internet religious war, Telecommunications >Policy 17(9), 1993, pages 643-649. > > Many people are familiar with standards issues mostly through the > publicity surrounding the Internet. Viewed in historical context > of other technical standards, the Internet is quite atypical, and an > important question is whether the Internet standardization process > is the wave of the future, or whether it is an anomaly. Drake's > article, really a review of Carl Malamud's "Exploring the Internet", > raises the issue in vivid and colorful terms. > >Nathan Rosenberg, Technological interdependence in the American >economy, in Inside the Black Box: Technology and Economics, Cambridge: >Cambridge University Press, 1982. > > The various sectors of the economy do not evolve through independent > paths of technological innovation. Quite the contrary, innovation > in one area of the economy frequently spills over into other > areas. Rosenberg provides numerous examples. This will be a > useful perspective to keep in mind when we consider case studies of > standardization that are confined to particular industries. > >Martin C. Libicki, Standards: The rough road to the common byte, in >Brian Kahin and Janet Abbate, eds, Standards Policy for Information >Infrastructure, Cambridge: MIT Press, 1995. > > Libicki's chapter provides a relatively concrete survey of the major > information technology standards, considered as an interconnected > family, and the overall process through which they evolved. By > keeping the particulars of this story in mind, we will be able to > test many of the theories of standardization that will appear in > later weeks' readings. > >Gregory Tassey, The roles of standards as technology infrastructure, >in Richard Hawkins, Robin Mansell, and Jim Skea, eds, Standards, >Innovation and Competitiveness: The Politics and Economics of >Standards in Natural and Technical Environments, Edward Elgar, 1995. > > There are a tremendous number of standards. Taken as a whole, > Tassey argues, these standards are usefully viewed as a component of > a society's infastructure. > >Giovanni Dosi, Technological paradigms and technological trajectories: >A suggested interpretation of the determinants and directions of >technical change, Research Policy 11(3), 1982, pages 147-162. > > Technologies do not arise at random, but through a > theme-and-variations pattern that is not driven solely by the > demands of a market considered in abstraction. Dosi provides some > ways of thinking about the coherent "paradigms" of technology and > their subsequent evolution. This will be a useful perspective when > we consider models of standardization that reduce technologies to > binary choices between one discrete standard and another. > >Ole Hanseth, Eric Monteiro, and Morten Hatling, Developing information >infrastructure: The tension between standardization and flexibility, >Science, Technology, and Human Values 21(4), 1996, pages 407-426. > > Some standards are more successful than others. Success can be > measured in terms of a standard's widespread acceptance or rejection > by markets and governments. But it can also be measured in other > terms, for example its ability to evolve and to interact with later, > unpredicted innovations. Hanseth et al describe how this need for > flexibility has been addressed in the Internet. > >Batya Friedman and Helen Nissenbaum, Bias in computer systems, ACM >Transactions on Information Systems 14(3), 1996, pages 330-347. > > It matters whether a standard arises, but it also matters which > standard arises, because standards, and thus artifacts themselves, > can embody socially meaningful biases. Friedman and Nissenbaum > provide a taxonomy of the ways in which computer systems can be > biased. This perspective will be nearly invisible through most > of the literature that we read this term, so we should try to keep > Friedman and Nissenbaum's analysis in mind throughout. > > >Week 3 / Networks > > The most important word this term is "network". Unfortunately, this > word carries about five different meanings: (1) a set of machines > connected to one another by standard communications protocols; > (2) the presumptively homogenous group of individuals who have all > bought a given product, and who benefit from one another's use of > the product; (3) the presumptively heterogeneous set of products and > services that must all be available and working if any one of them > is to be enjoyed successfully; (4) a collection of business firms > joined together by a shifting set of alliances; and (5) the network > of individual human relationships through which familiarity with a > new technology diffuses. This week we will read about the first > four of these, all of which will figure in later discussions. For > business thinking about the fifth and its implications for strategy, > see Moore's "Crossing the Chasm". > >Michel Callon, Techno-economic networks and irreversibility, in John >Law, ed, A Sociology of Monsters: Essays on Power, Technology and >Domination, London: Routledge, 1991. > > According to the actor network school of technology studies, > technological innovation is essentially a matter of assembling > heterogeneous networks of interdependent artifacts, people, > organizations, laws, and so forth. Callon provides a highly > abstract vocabulary for talking about these networks and their > evolution. > >Gernot Grabher, Rediscovering the social in the economics of interfirm >relations, in Gernot Grabher, The Embedded Firm: On the Socioeconomics >of Industrial Networks, London: Routledge, 1993. > > As industrial products and production processes become more > complicated, it becomes impractical for any one firm to command the > full range of necessary skills. As a result, many analysts argue > that the global economy evolving into a complex and ceaselessly > shifting network of alliances among firms. Grabher's chapter is the > introduction to an edited volume of articles on this phenomenon, and > it surveys various analyses of it. > >Harry M. Trebing, The networks as infrastructure: The reestablishment >of market power, Journal of Economic Issues 28(2), 1994, pages >379-389. > > An unreconstructed opponent of laissez faire telecommunications > policy, Trebing provides a rapid survey of the conventional > mechanisms of market failure in telecommunications, arguing that > all of those mechanisms are alive and well. > >Jeffrey Rohlfs, A theory of interdependent demand for a communications >service, Bell Journal of Economics 5(1), 1974, pages 16-37. > > This article is often cited as the origin of network economics. > It offers a formal analysis of the observation that the value of > a telecommunications service to a subscriber depends in large part > on the number of other subscribers. As a result, such "network" > markets tend to exhibit critical mass phenomena and other such > effects, which have come to become called network effects. > >Michael L. Katz and Carl Shapiro, Systems competition and network >effects, Journal of Economic Perspectives 8(2), 1994, pages 93-115. > > This is an informal introduction to the now-conventional analysis > of network effects that informs much of the literature that we will > read this term. The basic argument is that network effects often > produce market failures. > >S. J. Liebowitz and Stephen E. Margolis, Network externality: An >uncommon tragedy, Journal of Economic Perspectives 8(2), 1994, pages >113-150. > > And this is an introduction to the standard critique of that > analysis. The basic argument is that real market economies have > many more ways of avoiding market failures than the simple network > effects models recognize. > >Recommended > >Dennis W. Carlton and J. Mark Klamer, The need for coordination among >firms, with special reference to network industries, University of >Chicago Law Review 50, 1983, pages 446-465. > > This is a frequently cited early article on coordination in > infrastructural industries, observing that social welfare in > railroads and electronic funds transfer alike requires competitors > to work together. > >Svend Erik Jeppesen and Knud Bruun Poulsen, The text communications >battlefield: Installed base, externalities and the fall of the telex >system, Telecommunications Policy 18(1), 1994, pages 66-77. > > This is a study of a failed attempt to introduce new standards in > the face of network effects and an installed base. > > >Week 4 / Compatibility > > Standards come in several varieties, but we are concerned > principally with compatibility standards -- the ones that ensure > that products work together as they're supposed to. Compatibility > standards are important for numerous reasons, perhaps the most > important being that they seem path-dependent: once a given > compatibility standard becomes widely adopted, it is difficult for > everyone to switch to a new standard because new equipment needs > to be compatible with old equipment. The nature and limits of this > phenomenon is perhaps the central topic of the course. > >Francois Bar, Michael Borrus, and Richard Steinberg, Islands in the >bit-stream: Charting the NII interoperability debate, Working Paper >79, Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy, 1995. > > "Interoperability", a word from the Internet world, appears to > mean roughly the same thing as "interconnection", a word from the > telecommunications world. The juxtaposition of these two words > points to a larger collision of technical, strategic, and regulatory > worlds. Bar et al outline various aspects of this collision, and > their article (a classic already at three years of age) previews > themes that will be developed more fully in later readings. > >Paul A. David and W. Edward Steinmueller, Standards, trade and >competition in the emerging Global Information Infrastructure >environment, Telecommunications Policy 20(10), 1996, pages 817-830. > > Amidst all of the optimism about the Internet, introduced by > Drake above, David and Steinmueller argue the unpopular case that > the Internet model is not sustainable. In particular, they argue > that both its architecture and its institutional structures will > necessarily evolve back toward the bad old telecommunications > models. > >Sanford V. Berg, The production of compatibility: Technical standards >as collective goods, Kyklos 42, 1989, pages 361-383. > > This is a mathematical model of the conditions under which an > economy will produce the optimal amount of compatibility. The > starting point of the analysis, I am afraid, appears in an article > by Kindleberger that we will read later on, and that it will > probably be helpful to preview now. > >Carl Cargill, Evolution and revolution in open systems, StandardView >2(1), 1994, pages 3-13. > > "Open systems" has meant several different things at different > points in history, depending on which market was serving as the > paradigm example in a given period. Cargill recounts the history > and differentiates the meanings. > >Michael L. Katz and Carl Shapiro, Technology adoption in the presence >of network externalities, Journal of Political Economy 94(4), 1986, >pages 822-841. > > Competing standards often benefit from "sponsors" who are willing > to take losses in hopes of profiting later by capturing network > externalities once its standard wins in the marketplace. Katz and > Shapiro provide a model of such sponsorship decisions, investigating > which standard wins in various market configurations. > >Recommended > >Yale M. Braunstein and Lawrence J. White, Setting technical >compatibility standards: An economic analysis, Antitrust Bulletin >30(2), 1985, pages 337-355. > > This is a widely cited early analysis of the interaction between > the economic properties of standards and choices about vertical > integration, a fundamental and understandable concern of antitrust > policy. The basic point is that antitrust's suspicion of vertical > integration should be tempered by its potential efficiencies in a > standards-driven market. > > >Week 5 / Organizations > > Most people think of standards as documents that are issued by > formal standards organizations such as ISO, ANSI, and the IETF. > But the world is changing, and the nature and role of these > organizations is changing as well. We will consider the inherent > economic tensions that underlie cooperative standards activities, > the interaction of various players' strategies, the tensions that > standards organizations experience as these strategies change, and > various potential responses. This week's reading also includes > several case studies, all of which are recommended rather than > required reading. > >Timothy Schoechle, The emerging role of standards bodies in the >formation of public policy, IEEE Standards Bearer 9(2), 1995, pages >1, 10. > > This very brief article anticipates our discussion of standards > policy. In it, Schoechle points out that standards organizations > promulgate rules that change the world in ways that have material > consequences for people's lives, and in that sense they can be > viewed as making public policy. This analogy between standards > organizations and legislatures is an important counterbalance > to the predominance of economic analysis in the literature on > standardization. Standardization is not just a marketplace but > a public sphere, and it is altogether remarkable how these two > seemingly opposite analogies are able to work so well at the same > time. > >Charles P. Kindleberger, Standards as public, collective and private >goods, Kyklos 36(3), 1983, pages 377-396. > > The production of a standard requires effort and resources, and > yet the resulting standard can typically be practiced by a wide > variety of parties who did not contribute to it. Conventional > theory therefore predicts that the economy will not produce enough > standards. This is the most basic economic idea for understanding > the dynamics of standards organizations. Kindleberger sketches > several historical cases and analyzes the risks of market failure. > >Paul A. David and Mark Shurmer, Formal standards-setting for global >telecommunications and information services, Telecommunications Policy >20(10), 1996, pages 789-815. > > As telecommunications becomes increasingly privatized and > competitive, the strategic interests of various industry players are > increasingly played out in standards-setting forums. As a result, > those forums find themselves under increasing tension. David and > Shurmer describe these tensions. They point to the increasing > attractiveness of by-passing the official forums, and they point to > potential reforms that might increase the capacity of those forums > to resolve the more complicated and sharply drawn conflicts in the > industry. > >Susanne K. Schmidt and Raymund Werle, The development of compatibility >standards in telecommunications: Conceptual framework and theoretical >perspective, in Meinholf Dierkes and Ute Hoffman, eds, New Technology >at the Outset: Social Forces in the Shaping of Technological >Innovations, Frankfurt: Campus Verlag, 1992. > > This is an unusually sophisticated theoretical analysis of the > interaction among institutional forms, participants interests, and > inherent properties of a technology in shaping the formal processes > of standardization. Their case study is telecommunications > standard-setting in the CCITT. > >Joseph Farrell and Garth Saloner, Coordination through committees and >markets, RAND Journal of Economics 19(2), 1988, pages 235-252. > > Standards-setting is an example of the broader phenomenon of > coordination. Farrell and Saloner use methematical modeling to > inquire into the conditions under which economic self-interest > compels market participants to coordinate their activities through > formal committees, and when that coordination arises instead through > market competition. > >William Lehr, Compatibility standards and interoperability: Lessons >from the Internet, in Brian Kahin and Janet Abbate, eds, Standards >Policy for Information Infrastructure, Cambridge: MIT Press, 1995. > > The Internet standards process is universally regarded as > exceptionally successful, and Lehr's chapter is one of numerous > attempts to extract lessons from it that might be applied more > broadly. Although some of the IETF's success is due to the > favorable environment of its earlier years, more generalizable > lessons include the virtues of partial standardization, the > insistence on working models, and constant communication among the > participants over the Internet itself. > >Recommended > >Kai Jakobs, Rob Procter, and Robin Williams, Users and >standardization: Worlds apart? The example of electronic mail, >StandardView 4(4), 1996, pages 183-191. > > Every standard has an array of stakeholders, and the nature > and interests of those stakeholders predict the nature of their > participation in standards processes. This article considers the > case of electronic mail. > >Martin B. H. Weiss, Compatibility standards and product development >strategy: A review of data modem developments, Computer Standards and >Interfaces 12, 1991, pages 109-122. > > One common hypothesis in the standards literature is the supposed > trend toward anticipatory standards, that is, standards developed in > advance of the market instead of in reaction to it. Anticipatory > standards make sense when network externalities threaten significant > losses for firms whose products become stranded. Given that > motivation to agree on a standard a priori, Weiss describes a range > of strategies that firms might take in the standards process. > >Ben Dankbaar and Rob van Tulder, The influence of users in >standardization: The case of MAP, in Meinholf Dierkes and Ute Hoffman, >eds, New Technology at the Outset: Social Forces in the Shaping of >Technological Innovations, Frankfurt: Campus Verlag, 1992. > > Another recurring issue in the standards literature is the role > of users. Involving users in standardization processes is this > literatures' version of motherhood and apple pie, but the ideal > is rarely achieved. The situation is most propitious when the > users are highly sophisticated, understand their stake in getting > good standards, and are organized enough for sustained involvement > in the process. Such is the case with manufacturing standards, > and companies such as General Motors have even taken considerable > initiative to impose standards on their suppliers. And yet, in the > end, the process has still been largely dominated by the vendors. > Dankbaar and van Tulder explain why this is. > >Marvin A. Sirbu and Laurence E. Zwimpfer, Standards setting for >computer communication: The case of X.25, IEEE Communications Magazine >23(3), 1985, pages 35-45. > > Through a case study of the X.25 digital communications standard, > Sirbu and Zwimpfer attempt to infer some of the conditions under > which standards organizations succeed in achieving consensus around > a candidate standard. Some of these conditions pertain to the > structure of the standard itself (for example, the advisability of > layering) and others pertain to the process of consensus-building > (for example, first assembling a coalition in private, offline > meetings). > >Mark Pesce, The great leap downward, Feed, February 1997. > > Mark Pesce is the inventor of the Virtual Reality Markup Language > (VRML). VRML hasn't taken over the world yet, and one reason > for this is the amazing and frequently hilarious story of Pesce's > attempt to standardize it. This is his war story. > > >Week 6 / Strategy > > Standards-driven markets can be extraordinarily complicated > from a strategic perspective. We will consider several aspects > of strategy: ensuring the availability of a full product network, > anticipating the interactions among different firms' strategies, > market-tilting tactics such as preannouncement, and attempts to > influence a standard substantively. > >David J. Teece, Capturing value from technological innovation: >Integration, strategic partnering, and licensing decisions, in Bruce >R. Guile and Harvey Brooks, eds, Technology and Global Industry: >Companies and Nations in the World Economy, Washington, DC: National >Academy Press, 1987. > > The success of a new product usually does not depend solely on > its inherent attributes. Quite the contrary, customers will only > buy the product if an array of complementary products is available. > As a result, strategists attempting to maximize the return from > innovation will naturally wish to analyze the market for these > complementary products. A fundamental point of strategy is whether > to provide those complementary products oneself. > >Peter Grindley, Standards Strategy and Policy: Cases and Stories, >Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1995. Chapter 2: Framework for >Standards Strategy. > > Firms in standards-driven markets face at least two choices: > whether to pursue open or proprietary standards, and whether to > lead or follow the market in the transition to a new standard. The > resulting 2x2 matrix of possibilities provides the starting-point > for strategic analysis. > >Joseph Farrell and Garth Saloner, Installed base and compatibility: >Innovation, product preannouncements, and predation, American Economic >Review 76(5), 1986, pages 940-955. > > Farrell and Saloner present a mathemtical model of the consequences > of network effects for transitions between standards. The > relatively intuitive result is that, because of the network effects > that tend to lock customers into the standards they are already > using, a market may exhibit "excess inertia" in the transition to > a new standard. The less intuitive result is that, if those same > customers understand the dangers of being "stranded" in the standard > of their installed base, then the market may instead exhibit "excess > momentum" in the form of a premature transition to a new standard. > >Richard Hawkins, Standards for communication technologies: Negotiating >institutional biases in network design, in Robin Mansell and Roger >Silverstone, eds, Communication by Design: The Politics of Information >and Communication Technologies, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1996. > > This is a sophisticated theoretical analysis of the idea that > standards can embody inherent biases. It follows that competition > over standards is not simply a matter of who defines the standards, > but also a matter of what the standard substantively consists of, > and what its consequences will be once it is placed in operation. > These considerations define a strategic field of great complexity, > and they help explain the dynamics of standardization processes, and > particularly the forums that established players choose in pursuing > their standardization goals in a supposedly globalizing context. > >H. Landis Gabel, Competitive Strategies for Product Standards: The >Strategic Use of Compatibility Standards for Competitive Advantage, >London: McGraw-Hill, 1991. Chapters 3 and 9. > > Chapter 3 is a study of video recorders, and chapter 9 is a series > of theses that Gabel conjectures as a result of the full range of > studies in his book. > >Recommended > >Marvin B. Lieberman and David B. Montgomery, First-mover advantages, >Strategic Management Journal 9, 1988, pages 41-58. > > This article does not specifically concern standards. It is, > rather, an attempted taxonomy of the whole range of advantages > that can accrue to the first firm to enter a given market. I have > included it to provide us with a context in which to examine the > oversimple conventional wisdom that the first standard to market > wins. Moving first is not necessarily the optimal strategy, and > the potential benefits of first-movership are more various than > those involved with standards alone. > >Peter Grindley, Standards Strategy and Policy: Cases and Stories, >Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1995. Chapters 4-6. > > These are three case studies from Grindley's book: VCR's (in which > the lesson concerns the creation of alliances around a standard), > compact discs and digital audio tape (in which the lesson concerns > market timing), and personal computers (in which the lesson concerns > open standards and the conditions under which they can succeed). > Observe that we are also reading Gabel's study of the celebrated > case of video recorders; we will have the opportunity to compare and > contrast. > >Stanley M. Besen and Joseph Farrell, Choosing how to compete: >Strategies and tactics in standardization, Journal of Economic >Perspectives 8(2), 1994, pages 117-131. > > Standards competitions are not always simple matters of > symmetrically organized, head-to-head battles to the death between > conflicting standards. Individual firms have many other choices, > such as adopting another firm's standard and competing on production > efficiencies. Because the rewards of each strategy depend on the > strategies chosen by others, competition in standards markets has > a game-theoretic quality. Besen and Farrell's model attempt to > preduct which strategies will be chosen depending on each firm's > relative initial positioning in the marketplace. > >Robin Mansell, Designing electronic commerce, in Robin Mansell and >Roger Silverstone, eds, Communication by Design: The Politics of >Information and Communication Technologies, Oxford: Oxford University >Press, 1996. > > Arguing along similar lines to Hawkins, Mansell argues that > electronic commerce standards have typically evolved in ways that > inherently favored the interests of the most powerful players. > > >Week 7 / Modularity > > An emerging theme in the literature is the interaction between > the structure of products and the structure of industries and firms. > We will consider the specific case of modularity. Technical people > tend to portray modularity as an ahistorical design norm, but this > approach cannot tell us the conditions under which markets produce > modular systems. We will consider the matter in both its empirical > and a strategic aspects. > >Kim B. Clark, The interaction of design hierarchies and market >concepts in technological evolution, Research Policy 14, 1985, pages >235-251. > > Clark argues that markets mature from a fluid state toward a more > rigid, standardized state in large part through the consolidation of > the customers' concept of the product. Examples are drawn from cars > and semiconductors. > >Carliss Y. Baldwin and Kim B. Clark, Managing in an age of modularity, >Harvard Business Review 75(5), 1997, pages 84-93. > > This is a relatively breezy article for managers about the > competitive issues that arise as markets evolve toward modularity. > >Richard N. Langlois and Paul L. Robertson, Networks and innovation in >a modular system: Lessons from the microcomputer and stereo component >industries, Research Policy 21(4), 1992, pages 297-313. > > This is a qualitative analysis of the conditions under which > complicated products such as computers and stereo systems are > provided as separate modular components, and when they are provided > as integrated products. They suggest that modularity is linked with > horizontal and vertical disintegration, and they express cautious > (and I think far too hopeful) optimism that markets tend toward > modularity because of the efficiencies that disintegration brings. > >Nicholas Economides and Steven C. Salop, Competition and integration >among complements, and network market structure, Journal of Industrial >Economics 40(1), 1992, pages 105-123. > > Economides and Salop provide a mathematical model of complementary > products in network markets. The remarkably difficult question is > when the products are provided as an integrated unit by the same > firm and when they are provided independently in the marketplace. > >Marc H. Meyer and Alvin P. Lehnerd, The Power of Product Platforms: >Building Value and Cost Leadership, New York: Free Press, 1997. >Chapter 2: Managing Product Platforms. > > A product platform is a common core for a whole family of related > products. By defining a set of in-house standards, the platform > permits design and manufacturing costs to be shared among several > products. This chapter discusses the interaction between the > structure of a product family and the structure of the market spaces > that the various products will address. > > >Week 8 / Policy > > For people from many backgrounds, standards tend to imply de jure > standards set by the government, or through formal negotiations > between governments. This was historically the case in > telecommunications, but as world changes the question arises of > government's proper role in the standards process. Ideological > approaches to the question tend toward the predictable extremes, but > in the middle lies a very complicated range of alternatives whose > advisability depends on the interactions among numerous aspects of > --- # distributed via nettime-l : no commercial use without permission # <nettime> is a closed moderated mailinglist for net criticism, # collaborative text filtering and cultural politics of the nets # more info: majordomo@icf.de and "info nettime" in the msg body # URL: http://www.desk.nl/~nettime/ contact: nettime-owner@icf.de